I think this article is a great example of why we should be trying to figure out what our customers want and need before THEY even know what they want/need. That's where the magic is.
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Published: March 5, 2012
“Sometimes, even more important than what type of technology is being developed is what people are doing with that technology….”
Technology As Fashion
“Apple products have achieved their level of
popularity as much for their visual impact as for their technological
capabilities, attaining the status of fashion icons.”
Figure 1—HP ENVY
Tablets and smartphones have also become fashion
statements as much as they are technological tools. The fashion case
market has exploded in the past few years, with thousands of artistic
designs now available. People are paying hundreds of dollars for
fashionable aluminum phone cases like the iPhone case from Element Case
that is shown in Figure 2.
Because fashion is ultimately a matter of personal
expression, people value new and innovative products that let them
express their own sense of the aesthetic. Custom smartphone and tablet
cases and skins let people cover their devices with just about anything
they might want. Custom messenger and computer bags like those
available through Rickshaw Bags—Figure 3 shows an example—let people
choose any fabric or design for the construction of their bag. People
can even avail themselves of custom etching services for personal
electronics. Figure 4 shows an etching on an iPad. With so many
companies offering products and services that provide fashion outlets
for technology, the next step may be customizing technology itself for
people.
Figure 3—A custom bag from Rickshaw Bags
Figure 4—Etching of a cherry tree on an iPad
Recently, we’ve seen the release of a wide variety of
new over-ear headphones, all sporting the same basic technology. The
popularity of headphones from companies like Skullcandy, shown in Figure
5, and Urbanears, shown in Figure 6, is as much about their visual
style as their sound quality. With so many similar headphones on the
market, these companies needed some means of differentiation to avoid
being lost in the noise.
Figure 5—Skullcandy headphones
Figure 6—Urbanears headphones
Many manufacturers have aligned with popular artists
for help developing and marketing their products—like Dr Dre and Beats
headphones or Rza and WESC. Skullcandy has differentiated its products
by providing advanced features like the ability to daisy-chain
headphones together using detachable connectors. In contrast, Monster
gained significant advantage by developing and releasing Beats
headphones years ahead of the competition—successfully predicting that
high-quality, fashionable headphones would become a significant market
trend over time.
With quality over-ear headphones becoming a new fashion
trend, other important factors are emerging—such as using fashion as
well as features to differentiate products that are fundamentally
similar to one another, building customization into the product design
and purchasing process, and predicting what future technology might
become a fashion trend over the next few years.
Technology Is Social
“A major technology trend that we are seeing
emerge is that of being social. … For example, … music has become
social in entirely new ways through Web applications like Turntable.fm.”
For the past few years, Zynga has been leading the
charge in social gaming. Recently, one of their most viral games has
been the wildly popular Words With Friends. Rather than just allowing
people to play a game online in which involving friends is something of
an afterthought, Words With Friends is an inherently social,
person-to-person game that requires people to play with their
friends—and even includes a chat function that enables trash-talking.
Through Words With Friends, Zynga has found a way of connecting people
directly—sometimes across vast distances—through a competitive and fun
activity.
Breathing new life into an old activity by using new
technology and leveraging a social experience, Hasbro has updated the
game of Lazer Tag
for smartphones, releasing Lazer Tag guns that operate with mobile
phones. People can shoot their real-life friends with electronic signals
that register on their friends’ smartphones. Rather than connecting
people across distances through the Web or mobile networks, these new
smartphone Lazer Tag guns connect people through technology much closer
to home. It’s the kind of game that helps people make new friends.
Each of these technologies establishes new ways of
connecting people, whether across great distances or right next door.
They do so through established recreational activities that companies
have repackaged for electronic delivery. Expect to see new social
technologies over the next few years, leveraging the inherently social
aspects of newer devices like tablets and connected televisions. Also,
think about social activities in which we currently engage that are ripe
for an electronic makeover.
Increasing Device Connectivity
“We are dealing with more and more data-housing devices and risk our data becoming increasingly fragmented.”
Now, with the introduction of tablets, ultrabooks,
connected televisions, game consoles, and cars, we are dealing with more
and more data-housing devices and risk our data becoming increasingly
fragmented. In response, services like mint.com have sought to
consolidate information from multiple sources into a single location and
cloud solutions like Dropbox have begun to blur the file-location
barrier and provide access from any location or device. However, cloud
storage limitations, as well as reliability and connectivity questions
are preventing a wholesale migration to the cloud.
Amazon seems to be setting itself up to tackle this
problem through their advanced cloud solutions, growing out of Amazon
Web Services. Through Whispersync, Amazon provides an excellent model of
how to tear down barriers between different devices, having already
accomplished it beautifully for ebooks. With Amazon’s forays into music,
movies, and now tablets with the Kindle Fire, they seem to be
positioning themselves to own content delivery across platforms.
Apple, Microsoft, and Google may have something to say
about that, but they are behind when it comes to device connectivity.
Apple just recently released iCloud, but their history with connectivity
between devices has been mixed—with iTunes providing clunky
interactions between smartphones and computers. Microsoft has provided
significant device connectivity between computers and TVs using Windows 7
and the Xbox 360, and Windows 8 promises to do even more. Google has
made significant moves with their Google Apps line, providing useful
quick calendar syncing across platforms, as well as shared access to
documents, spreadsheets, and calendar events.
Over the next few years, look for each of these
companies to jockey for position in the market by creating a seamless
flow between devices and users. Content delivery will be key, especially
with the storage landscape changing rapidly, becoming cheaper and
cheaper, and connectivity becoming faster and more omnipresent. The
ultimate solution will likely be a cross-device platform that is similar
to the latest versions of Android—for smartphones and tablets,
Android’s Ice Cream Sandwich—and Windows 8 for PCs and tablets. Both are
optimized for multiple devices. These large companies will likely be
looking to acquire companies that excel at solving data fragmentation
issues and establishing the seamless flow of data that they all hope to
create.
Conclusion
“By understanding patterns in people’s current and past behavior, we can do more than recognize their current needs; we can anticipate their future needs.”
By understanding users, trends that are emerging in
user behavior, and future technology directions, we can set ourselves up
to be at the forefront of innovation. By understanding patterns in
people’s current and past behavior, we can do more than recognize their
current needs; we can anticipate their future needs.
Identifying recent trends has led to fashionable products that bring
people together and operate seamlessly across devices.
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